Expected value ( EV ) in poker

Expected value ( EV )  tells you on average how much money you can make or lose.

Example with dice: You roll a six-number dice. If the number 6 comes up, you get €18, if another number comes up, you lose €3. The question is: Is it profitable for you to play this game ?

4.5 rating
Get Free:
4.3 rating



6 out of 6 will fall once, so the probability is 1/6

Five times out of six another number will come up, so the probability is 5/6

On average, you will earn 1/6 * €18 = €3 and lose 5/6 * €3 = €2.5. So on average you will earn €3 - €2.5 = €0.5.

So, the answer is: EV = €0.5, in other words: every time you roll the dice, you earn €0.5 on average, and it's profitable for us to play this game.

Example in poker:

Let's say you are holding it in your hands:


500 euros in the pot, flop:


Your opponent bets €200 all-in into a pot of €500. Total in the pot:500 + 200 = 700 euros. And the question: is it profitable for you to call and make a call of 200 euros if you believe he has two boys ?


Let's take a look at PokerStars Equilab how likely it is to win:

expected value in poker

And we can see that about ~33% will win and ~67% will lose. If we win the pot we win a total of €700, and if we lose, we lose €200. So 33% will win 700 euros and 67% will lose 200 euros. The formula is: 700 * 0.33 - 200 * 0.67 = 97 euros. Answer: EV = 97 euros, in other words: if we play in this situation, making a call, we will earn 97 euros on average.

[fbcomments width="100%" count="off" num="3" countmsg="wonderful comments!"]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Poker, poker rules, poker rooms, online poker, live poker, poker tips...
Pokeriukas.com is a sports poker personal opinion portal. The laws of the Republic of Lithuania prohibit the advertising of poker, so if you are located in the territory of the Republic of Lithuania, you must leave this page. Failure to comply with this requirement shall be at your own risk and shall result in your own consequences. All rights reserved © 2021 Pokeriukas.com